Boxing · resolved market
71kg M Boxing Final: Muydinkhujaev (UZB) vs. Verde Alvarez (MEX)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d25fc259f0274cbce897475bd69099f9616c6acd0cc9294a92838a8e2482bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muydinkhujaevof Muydinkhujaev, Alvarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Alvarez | 39c | 617.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Muydinkhujaev | 60c | 332$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…150dbacked Alvarez | 42c | 214.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…c1d4backed Muydinkhujaev | 62c | 164.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Muydinkhujaev | 59c | 156.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed Muydinkhujaev | 62c | 119.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Alvarez | 29c | 102.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Muydinkhujaev | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ac6cbacked Muydinkhujaev | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf197…86d4backed Alvarez | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Alvarez | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…ee01backed Muydinkhujaev | 70c | 67.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec9…6159backed Muydinkhujaev | 77c | 34.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.