World Politics · resolved market
Will André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd65efeefec071c4b007bcc73a28a8729c405dabaacc579a0c6cd8e5580f8614b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…05f8backed Yes | 1c | 6,818$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…a834backed No | 32c | 3,900$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…9740backed Yes | 68c | 2,900$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…79aabacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 69c | 1,970$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.42 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…4dc6backed Yes | 73c | 1,920$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b67…76b5backed Yes | 68c | 1,900$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…eb1bbacked No | 34c | 1,888$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…ae31backed No | 34c | 1,888$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…0f08backed Yes | 66c | 1,888$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…7d29backed Yes | 66c | 1,888$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…56b4backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…90abbacked No | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…cbaabacked No | 31c | 1,342$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…c0f6backed Yes | 69c | 1,342$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…5a38backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…0995backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf857…0579backed No | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…7226backed Yes | 70c | 711.02$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…5d33backed No | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…7a6ebacked No | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde16…e321backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 23c | 587.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…efe6backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…82a0backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764e…cb25backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…0b1ebacked Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…736fbacked Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…cba8backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 61c | 386.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 72c | 307.8$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…7718backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…01eabacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365c…2472backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…ae90backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…342dbacked Yes | 73c | 274.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d75backed Yes | 75c | 266.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…f68fbacked No | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…7ebcbacked No | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…6368backed No | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…54dcbacked No | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…b549backed No | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…27a1backed No | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…2c71backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…7733backed No | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…bd02backed No | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…8418backed No | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…06c7backed No | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…eb14backed Yes | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…d7fdbacked No | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…ba92backed No | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc4…9505backed Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 68c | 218.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…ac7bbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ba…623dbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…7b8bbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…7870backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87c…9d95backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…ceffbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…9b00backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…3a96backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 53c | 192.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 69c | 179.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 157.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 151.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…2dd8backed No | 30c | 147.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 70c | 125.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 67c | 124.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…f34fbacked Yes | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…2062backed Yes | 64c | 107$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…894abacked No | 36c | 107$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…6e8bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +263.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…0f0dbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0d76backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…4381backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…322bbacked Yes | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…b6d7backed Yes | 64c | 88.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…15debacked Yes | 74c | 80.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…9f37backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…d3b8backed Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…e5a9backed No | 29c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…da00backed Yes | 65c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…3e71backed No | 35c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…10e8backed Yes | 68c | 73.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…1a74backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +132%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 70c | 65.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…2ed4backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked No | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a009backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…ec8abacked No | 29c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…0836backed Yes | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 34c | 47.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…9486backed Yes | 61c | 46.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf8…f504backed Yes | 65c | 44.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed Yes | 68c | 44.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…b978backed Yes | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…23f2backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?this page
- Will Evandro Leitão win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?Yes won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.