NFL · resolved market
Will the Ravens and Commanders combine for 52 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14366eb3635aba655289cdac0cd2b391fcff72fc08322165cad90778e7418b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b0…f1c6backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…f954backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Over | 52c | 188.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Over | 45c | 127.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…d83abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Under | 47c | 88.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…5c6bbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…37adbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…5d44backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…ca42backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ravens and Commanders combine for 52 or more points?this page
- Will the Bears and Jaguars combine for 45 or more points?Over won
- Will the Cowboys and Lions combine for 53 or more points?Over won
- Will the Eagles and Browns combine for 43 or more points?Under won
- Will the Giants and Bengals combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Packers and Cardinals combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Panthers and Falcons combine for 47 or more points?Over won
- Will the Patriots and Texans combine for 38 or more points?Over won
- Will the Raiders and Steelers combine for 37 or more points?Over won
- Will the Saints and Buccaneers combine for 42 or more points?Over won
- Will the Titans and Colts combine for 43 or more points?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.