Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Slavia Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ea12e8174ba6797a9d6b1132eb4da61cb938eb0e7e4396a4b8128bd1529490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 47c | 6,092$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.51 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,805$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.45 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 57c | 964.9$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 928.23$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.83 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 77c | 887.99$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 51c | 600$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 40c | 471.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 58c | 448.21$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 33c | 360.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…1151backed Yes | 58c | 260.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 77c | 187.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 50c | 165$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 55c | 161.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 39c | 129.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 49c | 105.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…bb00backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 54c | 99.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…e203backed Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…0e15backed No | 47c | 98.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…3100backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 42c | 62.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…5432backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…febcbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed Yes | 51c | 48.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…c6fabacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…eaa2backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed No | 50c | 34.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Yes | 55c | 31.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…6714backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…341fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…975abacked No | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5376backed Yes | 52c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…c594backed Yes | 57c | 23.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Bilbao beat Slavia Praha?this page
- Will Slavia Praha beat Athletic Bilbao?No won
- Will the match between Athletic Bilbao and Slavia Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.