NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebecc94c2b1043e5e04e2857243518925d76bfa9f49ca366a8e2795db2b158c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Senators, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Senators | 37c | 5,444$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 63c | 2,900$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Stars | 63c | 1,176$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 65c | 579.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 35c | 536.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 58c | 499.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 65c | 499.94$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Senators | 35c | 481.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 15c | 467.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Senators | 29c | 441.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Senators | 40c | 411.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Stars | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Senators | 35c | 398.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 18c | 322.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 8c | 301$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Senators | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Stars | 66c | 294.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Stars | 63c | 290$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Senators | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Stars | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Stars | 43c | 231$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Senators | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Stars | 74c | 196.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Senators | 36c | 183.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Stars | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Stars | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Stars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Stars | 66c | 152.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 35c | 148.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Stars | 66c | 143.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Senators | 34c | 132.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 49c | 126.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Stars | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Stars | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Stars | 63c | 94.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…e08cbacked Stars | 64c | 90.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Senators | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Stars | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Stars | 63c | 78.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Stars | 64c | 70.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…b6afbacked Senators | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…9c71backed Stars | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Senators | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…8a37backed Senators | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…1e51backed Senators | 36c | 48.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…1b19backed Stars | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 64c | 43.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a1…27c6backed Senators | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…cd7ebacked Senators | 37c | 42.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…8cd6backed Senators | 36c | 40.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Stars | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…213ebacked Senators | 37c | 39.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…b471backed Senators | 37c | 39.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Stars | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…3b9abacked Stars | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e508backed Stars | 65c | 37.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a9f0backed Senators | 37c | 37.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…a662backed Stars | 63c | 37.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9286…1dc9backed Senators | 37c | 36.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…cf65backed Senators | 37c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f6…3534backed Senators | 36c | 36.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3f50backed Senators | 37c | 36.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…7848backed Stars | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…68a0backed Senators | 37c | 35.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…83f5backed Senators | 35c | 35.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…5a5cbacked Stars | 65c | 35.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…5698backed Stars | 64c | 35.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…9097backed Stars | 63c | 35.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…e94ebacked Senators | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…f140backed Senators | 36c | 33.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…cfb8backed Stars | 65c | 33.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Senators | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1211…e542backed Senators | 37c | 32.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…1e2cbacked Senators | 35c | 32.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…752abacked Senators | 37c | 31.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…41bdbacked Stars | 63c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…1a0bbacked Stars | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…deb6backed Stars | 64c | 31.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Stars | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…b0cabacked Senators | 35c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…2490backed Senators | 37c | 31.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b8…0e16backed Stars | 65c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5195backed Stars | 63c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Stars | 63c | 30.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…49c5backed Stars | 63c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…cf30backed Senators | 37c | 30.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…bcccbacked Stars | 63c | 30.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…3023backed Senators | 37c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…3930backed Stars | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…aba1backed Senators | 37c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…ef6ebacked Stars | 63c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…70f8backed Senators | 35c | 29.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…25f6backed Senators | 37c | 29.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…bb6cbacked Stars | 63c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…22c7backed Stars | 64c | 28.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…75c7backed Stars | 63c | 28.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.