MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122ac96e4a0ef54a6ffa6c68e3f5ce5e73df5ac1cf99b4f3d85e721057a68ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Phillies | 72c | 95,029$68,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,608.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 72c | 30,374$21,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,504.72 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 28c | 24,649$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.98 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockies | 28c | 22,251$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.28 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 28c | 18,078$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 28c | 13,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 28c | 12,602$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.64 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockies | 28c | 12,413$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.75 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…cb76backed Phillies | 71c | 9,998$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…d62fbacked Rockies | 29c | 9,998$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 73c | 9,207$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.72 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 27c | 8,932$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.79 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rockies | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Phillies | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rockies | 28c | 3,470$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…b744backed Rockies | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 18c | 2,266$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Rockies | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…f9e2backed Rockies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 28c | 1,936$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.17 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Rockies | 5c | 1,668$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Phillies | 71c | 1,313$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 43c | 1,200$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…82debacked Phillies | 71c | 1,187$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 9c | 1,059$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…1a54backed Phillies | 71c | 1,058$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…2238backed Phillies | 71c | 1,042$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…19cfbacked Phillies | 71c | 1,004$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Phillies | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…900ebacked Phillies | 71c | 996$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Rockies | 28c | 977$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 17c | 859.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a63…651dbacked Phillies | 72c | 823.14$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Phillies | 72c | 763.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 28c | 760.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Phillies | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Rockies | 29c | 686.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Phillies | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 10c | 551.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rockies | 22c | 544.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 2c | 522.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Phillies | 72c | 504$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rockies | 29c | 434.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Phillies | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Rockies | 28c | 395.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Rockies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 28c | 320.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 73c | 302.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Phillies | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 73c | 273.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 36c | 233.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Phillies | 72c | 205.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 70c | 171.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Phillies | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 10c | 144.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Phillies | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Phillies | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 28c | 114.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 69c | 109.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Phillies | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…142bbacked Phillies | 72c | 103.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Rockies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Rockies | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Phillies | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Phillies | 72c | 99.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rockies | 31c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…0fdfbacked Phillies | 72c | 72.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Rockies | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…a30dbacked Rockies | 29c | 68.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…b953backed Rockies | 29c | 65.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…fe32backed Phillies | 72c | 62.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Phillies | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Phillies | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Phillies | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…22ffbacked Rockies | 28c | 53.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Rockies | 29c | 51.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Phillies | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Phillies | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Rockies | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Phillies | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…8ee4backed Rockies | 28c | 37.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…ce78backed Phillies | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed Rockies | 29c | 36.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 71c | 36.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…b1bfbacked Rockies | 29c | 35.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…c910backed Rockies | 29c | 35.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…c1cfbacked Phillies | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.