TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Braves59c20,445$12,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,382.4527948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates41c17,800$7,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,29824553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates41c15,436$6,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.242,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Braves47c11,847$5,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,261.275461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Braves65c11,257$7,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.96157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates26c10,529$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.591,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates36c8,422$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.071,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Braves35c6,329$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.8915745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates20c4,088$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.4286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves60c3,514$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.1717866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Braves59c2,790$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.263253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates51c2,578$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.024,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked Pirates47c2,518$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates40c2,280$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.131,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Pirates1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Braves59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.928457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Braves69c1,677$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.013161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pirates46c1,649$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.841,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Braves52c1,583$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Braves58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6304854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Pirates42c1,487$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates38c1,219$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.11,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Pirates40c1,091$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4814048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Braves59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.321250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates41c738.3$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.737446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Braves72c596.22$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9416151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a3…6ed8backed Pirates37c536.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Pirates66c456.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pirates47c451.87$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2151334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates34c451.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Pirates41c437$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1737649.5%186 W · 190 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates41c427.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.412,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Pirates60c413.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.022454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Pirates75c400.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Pirates34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13614539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Braves74c370$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.22,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pirates35c369$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5643250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ba…0627backed Pirates32c315.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9805…b172backed Pirates33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Braves69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9314150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Braves63c299.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2211036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Braves60c251.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.671,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves60c244.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Braves41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates42c238.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Braves67c224.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.111357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8293240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pirates41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Pirates40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Braves55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Pirates28c175.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e38…1b55backed Pirates58c171.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Braves59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4978454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates12c168.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Braves74c166.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Braves61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9310746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Pirates40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012548%60 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c88…d15dbacked Braves58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd5…6962backed Pirates42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves60c127$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.81,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Braves59c126.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2638245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Braves73c118.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves58c104.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f1…a2f6backed Pirates42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e2…e964backed Braves76c97.86$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Braves67c91.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8319053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Braves57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Braves60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Braves60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Braves60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3313254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked Braves70c83.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d16…8444backed Braves60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…7a72backed Braves60c73.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f52…9057backed Pirates41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves43c70.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.976,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves59c69.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6951955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates41c69.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Pirates42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Braves60c56.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves46c54.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Braves72c54.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9634264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Braves58c50.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Braves60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Braves63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pirates49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Pirates41c49.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Pirates44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1434…2a51backed Braves60c42.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Pirates33c41.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5efc…ee80backed Pirates52c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a4…3658backed Pirates50c32.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates43c30.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Pirates37c28.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.