Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7113fb7e1d45f1f1bc3fce8eeba1b7b085141d23d5b00aa3a455593ee6c1c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andreeva | 39c | 5,882$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.28 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Cirstea | 61c | 5,525$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Cirstea | 62c | 3,198$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.14 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Andreeva | 39c | 3,000$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.89 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…3176backed Andreeva | 43c | 2,940$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.87 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…372cbacked Cirstea | 60c | 2,358$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Cirstea | 60c | 1,761$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.66 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Cirstea | 58c | 1,193$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.85 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Andreeva | 46c | 1,079$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cirstea | 56c | 937.68$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Andreeva | 40c | 840.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.13 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Andreeva | 39c | 763.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea | 55c | 722$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Cirstea | 20c | 712.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Andreeva | 40c | 621.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Cirstea | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Andreeva | 40c | 483.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.07 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Cirstea | 59c | 396.61$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…a7d3backed Cirstea | 59c | 356.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cirstea | 53c | 350.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Cirstea | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Andreeva | 40c | 330.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Andreeva | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Andreeva | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Andreeva | 44c | 251.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Andreeva | 41c | 251.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Cirstea | 59c | 251.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Andreeva | 41c | 202.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cirstea | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Andreeva | 41c | 174.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Cirstea | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea | 61c | 165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Cirstea | 60c | 164.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Andreeva | 40c | 153.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Cirstea | 58c | 142.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Andreeva | 40c | 137.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cirstea | 58c | 137.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Andreeva | 42c | 121.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Cirstea | 60c | 101.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andreeva | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cirstea | 25c | 95.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Cirstea | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Cirstea | 59c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…0a9bbacked Andreeva | 43c | 69.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Andreeva | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Andreeva | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Andreeva | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Andreeva | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Andreeva | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Cirstea | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Andreeva | 69c | 35.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Andreeva | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cirstea | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Cirstea | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Andreeva | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Cirstea | 59c | 30.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cirstea | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Cirstea | 60c | 29.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Andreeva | 39c | 29.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cirstea | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)this page
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana CirsteaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs CirsteaAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.