Tennis · resolved market
Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0275b83aaa17a41eaf7b5afb938caa701c4b6ec081893bca814be1296bf0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 7,320$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.58 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 5,574$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Over | 53c | 1,140$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.07 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 53c | 756.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Over | 52c | 719.36$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Under | 48c | 495$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 484.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 53c | 449.81$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 48c | 438.46$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Over | 52c | 384.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 225.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 52c | 191.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 127.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 51c | 119.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 20c | 119.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 53c | 109.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 49c | 108.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 51c | 100.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 53c | 91.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 89.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 55.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Over | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 50c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana CirsteaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs CirsteaAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.