Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Basket Zaragoza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a1588e0839ef6cd70f79730faecc422151c55d18d16955ea338c9ddefa33d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basket Zaragozaof CB Breogan Lugo, Basket Zaragoza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Basket Zaragoza | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed CB Breogan Lugo | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed CB Breogan Lugo | 46c | 6,671$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed CB Breogan Lugo | 45c | 3,222$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed CB Breogan Lugo | 35c | 1,355$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Basket Zaragoza | 65c | 836.35$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basket Zaragoza | 53c | 735.56$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed CB Breogan Lugo | 47c | 708.11$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CB Breogan Lugo | 20c | 678.35$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Basket Zaragoza | 71c | 588.12$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CB Breogan Lugo | 3c | 586.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Breogan Lugo | 43c | 414$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Basket Zaragoza | 17c | 351$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Basket Zaragoza | 65c | 291.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 57c | 174.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Basket Zaragoza | 65c | 144.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Basket Zaragoza | 49c | 117.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basket Zaragoza | 53c | 74.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Basket Zaragoza | 47c | 73.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Basket Zaragoza | 60c | 56.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed CB Breogan Lugo | 34c | 55.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Basket Zaragoza | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Basket Zaragoza | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed CB Breogan Lugo | 46c | 51.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Basket Zaragoza | 67c | 40.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Basket Zaragoza | 66c | 29.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.