Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c21e16d31ef481c45c9231c9961c912f5ef6997080a0a5726dcb4c0cae830d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 3,768$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.15 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 1,531$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.09 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 1,322$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.72 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Over | 45c | 1,189$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 829.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 55c | 768.46$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 45c | 735.62$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 44c | 528$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 56c | 510$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 45c | 370.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 56c | 340.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 44c | 314.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked Over | 45c | 203.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 44c | 192$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 45c | 185$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 45c | 136.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 45c | 90.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 45c | 79.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 45c | 71.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 52c | 67.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 47.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 45c | 41.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 31.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 56c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 56c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5)BOMBA Team won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.