CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ae2b7f7189ca5c29561e80489b6fa576508c840b4d1d91c745f9756be7e398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 2,208$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 843.74$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.12 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Over | 38c | 536.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 64c | 526$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Over | 37c | 381.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Over | 38c | 381$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 37c | 376.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Over | 38c | 376.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 37c | 332.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 35c | 233.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 36c | 207.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 66c | 190.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 179.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 176.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 37c | 167.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 167.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Under | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Under | 63c | 145$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 38c | 140.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 128.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 24c | 113.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 36c | 87.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Under | 27c | 70.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 74c | 64.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 62.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 59c | 46.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 53c | 44.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 54c | 43.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 59c | 39.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed Over | 38c | 38.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 38c | 27.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…c028backed Over | 38c | 26.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 59c | 24.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 72c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5)Leo Team won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.