CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7403970735a101c7bd48256ebbfb049f897867c6e986d726f4faee1135d2466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 2,561$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.43 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.98 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Leo Team | 34c | 1,461$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.64 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 46c | 1,106$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.69 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…12b9backed Leo Team | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Leo Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Leo Team | 25c | 942.32$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 795.07$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leo Team | 9c | 670.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 609.4$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 14c | 560.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Leo Team | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Leo Team | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Leo Team | 32c | 456.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 16c | 385$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 19c | 362.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 354.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 344.49$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 28c | 273.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team | 36c | 268$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Leo Team | 25c | 235.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 36c | 229$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Leo Team | 21c | 187.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Leo Team | 31c | 183.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 179$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 22c | 158.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…9cd3backed Leo Team | 12c | 155.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Leo Team | 48c | 151.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Leo Team | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 143.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 138.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 130.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 22c | 118.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Leo Team | 36c | 100.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 98.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…0cf1backed Leo Team | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 89.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Leo Team | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Leo Team | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 78.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 33c | 65.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Leo Team | 33c | 65.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 29c | 53.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Leo Team | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 49.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 48.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 48.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 45.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Leo Team | 35c | 41.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leo Team | 33c | 39.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 38.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Leo Team | 34c | 32.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 30.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Leo Team | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5)Leo Team won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.