CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x234973ee835ddc869d509670c7ed413d9c4e953c40b8f16432bb954ca946eae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof 100 Thieves, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 2,616$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.46 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Leo Team | 24c | 831.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.14 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 23c | 520$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 496.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Leo Team | 66c | 485$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 448$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 392.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 392.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Leo Team | 24c | 360.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 45c | 349$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 322.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 311.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Leo Team | 59c | 283.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Leo Team | 25c | 192$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 189.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 185.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 181.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 48c | 180.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 170.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Leo Team | 70c | 169.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Leo Team | 19c | 168.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 162.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Leo Team | 46c | 147$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 59c | 121.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 120.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Leo Team | 23c | 101.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 97.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 35c | 94.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 74.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leo Team | 80c | 73.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Leo Team | 23c | 65.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Leo Team | 51c | 63.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 61.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Leo Team | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Leo Team | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 56.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 50.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Leo Team | 31c | 42.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Leo Team | 52c | 40.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 38.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Leo Team | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 34c | 34.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5)Leo Team won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.