CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4b0d42f8aeb01a9b03bd27f5feb0ce1ec731b9f903e4d1ca3fa15704528287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof 100 Thieves, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 2,930$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.29 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Leo Team | 46c | 779$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Leo Team | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Leo Team | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Leo Team | 46c | 439.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Leo Team | 46c | 286.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 268.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Leo Team | 46c | 218.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Leo Team | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Leo Team | 46c | 143.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Leo Team | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Leo Team | 50c | 56.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…01e3backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Leo Team | 45c | 38.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Leo Team | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Leo Team | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Leo Team | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.