TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galorysof Galorys, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda1a…3407backed Galorys65c7,340$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.1428960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Academy35c2,506$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.191,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed paiN Academy34c1,194$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.119643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed paiN Academy35c774.9$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27110251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Galorys66c731.21$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6164058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed paiN Academy34c719.32$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed paiN Academy34c579.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed paiN Academy36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed paiN Academy34c254$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3628549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed paiN Academy34c247.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0432544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045a…b9a4backed paiN Academy34c218$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.123441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed paiN Academy34c192.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1421744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…2d72backed paiN Academy34c173.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.961533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked paiN Academy34c146$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy33c144.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6751348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Galorys55c140.93$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7333459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked paiN Academy36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Galorys61c136.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.074141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed paiN Academy39c136.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0717837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN Academy38c114.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed paiN Academy45c107.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.293231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked paiN Academy36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.168858%51 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked paiN Academy42c91.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.172231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee8…30abbacked paiN Academy36c79.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Galorys67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Galorys65c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.812856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed paiN Academy33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4850056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff2…330fbacked paiN Academy34c55.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Galorys71c52.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.484553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.