La Liga · resolved market
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e83dc64480eec548e6c6740ae01e3338376f154a35494f76f5efc2b3b5838f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,084 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed No | 44c | 20,613$9,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,558.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 11,963$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.71 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 6,811$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,649$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.46 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 2,456$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.61 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 55c | 2,429$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,438$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 2c | 1,149$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 520.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.13 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 326.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 59c | 296.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.73 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 41c | 253$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 249.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 56c | 230.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 55c | 181.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 56c | 171.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes | 14c | 159.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 142.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 58c | 118.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed Yes | 60c | 100.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 56c | 71.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 48c | 66.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 56.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 56c | 53.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Yes | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 47.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…cba8backed Yes | 53c | 45.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 59c | 42.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 59c | 42.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 39.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 58c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 55c | 37.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked Yes | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 66c | 31.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…b1fcbacked Yes | 56c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 60c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…56f9backed Yes | 45c | 24.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 55c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.