La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f516483f0d87fa40e087e0e84b0b170da0d838fbdd2a9cbc80b50d5fada2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 3,857$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 2,254$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.42 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 1,550$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 1,525$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 1,363$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.64 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 1,073$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.08 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Yes | 66c | 984.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 70c | 673.37$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 73c | 412.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…5154backed Yes | 74c | 344.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 298$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 63c | 233$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 74c | 221.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 52c | 217.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 198.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Yes | 67c | 185.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 181.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 151.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 70c | 131.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…3418backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 22c | 91.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…1e5abacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 61.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…d2babacked No | 25c | 58.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 57.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 54.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…b1fabacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 33.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 33.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Yes | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…7ffebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 77c | 26.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 66c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.