MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb30669c32678d47ab101be3dd18a1f0b5fbf9665ee3de3fd58461d2a8e4cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 23,857$8,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,986.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 10,993$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 9,110$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.91 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 9,019$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.39 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 8,815$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.56 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 8,661$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.76 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…db26backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 8,284$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 8,037$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 6,156$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.44 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 5,299$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 4,033$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 3,039$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 2,819$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.78 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 2,788$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 2,752$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 2,508$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 2,481$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.58 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,456$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,250$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.19 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 2,193$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.84 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,169$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,954$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.69 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,837$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,545$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.04 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,476$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,452$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.51 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,433$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.32 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,247$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 941.6$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 901.88$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.18 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 792.43$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.49 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…10d7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 778.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 775.9$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.82 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Chicago Cubs | 3c | 747.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 699.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 645.16$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.45 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 644.58$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 628.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 603.52$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 543.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 488$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 474.48$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 450.26$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 413.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 393$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 387$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 307.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 285.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 284.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…aad2backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 278.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 276$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 275.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 253.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 249.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 238.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 236.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 235$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 217.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 215$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 212.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 209.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…5fffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 206.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 201.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 190$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 183.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 170.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 165.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 162.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 159.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 158.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 153.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 150.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…53d5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 140.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 136.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 129.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 104.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 103.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 102.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-6.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-7.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.