TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c12,555$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,275.181,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,333$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.21,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,894$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c6,400$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over53c2,143$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12738046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under50c1,192$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59215450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,174$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c1,054$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under48c1,042$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.0340243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c812.58$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c713.33$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over67c639.95$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7914456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c558.45$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c519$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.312,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c504.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under51c490.94$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9d…3eb5backed Over50c455$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eea…5474backed Under50c453$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ead…dfa2backed Under50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ae…4f72backed Over50c427$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under34c425.02$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c415.41$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b4…d747backed Over50c411$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c404$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c399.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…6fdfbacked Under50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fa…0007backed Over50c385$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98d…8555backed Under50c367$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f5…4dafbacked Under50c352$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0da…aae3backed Over50c321$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367d…0b35backed Under50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238c…88b8backed Over50c305$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under51c277.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under68c275.7$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c260$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over64c254$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.61,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c0…de3fbacked Under51c207.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a07…2dcdbacked Over50c207.4$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under46c204.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.211,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over52c160.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.419435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under43c148.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under39c146.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2939047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under54c132.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8354351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Under50c127.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5511661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c122.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under50c121.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5821459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over51c118.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under48c106.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2627548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb6…8977backed Over51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.531643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8417backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54234.3%1 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.32per pick37cpaid-82.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f63…57b9backed Under49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under52c95.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9654853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c87.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.357250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8846940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under35c68.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under77c54.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c48.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over58c48.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over51c39.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c38.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under46c37.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.516437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over47c36.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under46c25.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.926841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee6…43d0backed Under72c23.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over49c23.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4119352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3530840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over79c15.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under74c14.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7714858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.