Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97bdb73eef26903d7f185aa543304d35083b696a23f91218e14deb084c5fb776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 50c | 9,724$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.87 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 2,596$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 4c | 2,092$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.98 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked No | 45c | 2,034$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.73 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,010$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.14 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 6c | 1,170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 955.05$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 897.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b76dbacked Yes | 5c | 797.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.68 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 59c | 684.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 65c | 656.84$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…06bebacked Yes | 4c | 347.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 42c | 329.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…bf35backed Yes | 74c | 325.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 29c | 299.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 66c | 296.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 69c | 293.86$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 4c | 277.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 26c | 276.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked Yes | 54c | 251.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 76c | 243.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 52c | 243.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 238.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 16c | 223.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 56c | 219.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 27c | 212.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 49c | 205.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 23c | 205.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Yes | 72c | 204$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 74c | 200.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…2992backed Yes | 12c | 197.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 7c | 194.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 189$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…f557backed No | 24c | 183.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed No | 30c | 171.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 56c | 169.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 53c | 167.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…9368backed No | 50c | 164.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 13c | 164.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…c2c2backed Yes | 7c | 162.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked No | 26c | 156.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 50c | 154.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 7c | 152.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 70c | 150.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 66c | 150.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 9c | 148.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…f048backed Yes | 65c | 144.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed Yes | 75c | 143.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 142.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…23c3backed Yes | 67c | 139.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…05f0backed Yes | 79c | 129.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 26c | 123.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 17c | 122.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 59c | 122.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 27c | 119.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 114.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 22c | 111.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 105.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 20c | 102.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 20c | 101.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 37c | 98.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 64c | 97.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 51c | 97.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…753bbacked Yes | 36c | 86.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1a83backed Yes | 76c | 84.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 12c | 84.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 38c | 81.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked No | 30c | 77.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 24c | 76.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 71.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…634cbacked Yes | 55c | 69.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 47c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 54c | 64.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…ea4ebacked Yes | 79c | 60.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked No | 19c | 59.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 34c | 56.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 56c | 55.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…1d16backed Yes | 71c | 54.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 20c | 54.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…e1c5backed Yes | 73c | 53.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 51.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…7eabbacked No | 56c | 51.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 48c | 50.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 37c | 48.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 48.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…f288backed Yes | 56c | 47.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 31c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…c072backed No | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed Yes | 76c | 45.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…2381backed Yes | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…83a8backed No | 77c | 39.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 68c | 39.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 53c | 37.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes | 50c | 37.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…c74abacked Yes | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 42c | 34.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 39c | 33.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 73c | 32.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.