Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316daa8e59bf7fa8a3457f8ce91565550c404f86ecc1e3d0309890bdbab30d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 6,958$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 5,150$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.03 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 4,231$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 13c | 2,994$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 52c | 2,432$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 2,244$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.4 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…28eebacked Yes | 15c | 1,960$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes | 51c | 1,910$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 50c | 1,751$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 1,574$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.29 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 31c | 1,532$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,449$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 1,259$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.67 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 607.57$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 532.15$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 531.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 463.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 72c | 452.01$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 355.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 11c | 348.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 303.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 11c | 287.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 12c | 278.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 32c | 257.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 251.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 10c | 234.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 218.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 14c | 205.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 203.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 198.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 13c | 196.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 12c | 196.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 51c | 191.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 65c | 150.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…0d7abacked Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 119.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 80c | 98.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 43c | 90.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…1782backed Yes | 46c | 88.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 48c | 87.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 14c | 85.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 81.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 50c | 78.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 67.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yes | 40c | 65.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 18c | 63.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed No | 62c | 50.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…172bbacked Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 65c | 44.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 49c | 38.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…b3bbbacked Yes | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 45c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.