Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8fe37256c4aedcc03f16f59cc91c5e7122eeeb3ec7b12e129d274bd64447e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,701$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 3,918$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.96 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 2,844$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.83 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 1,675$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.36 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 59c | 1,669$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.92 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 58c | 1,623$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 51c | 1,323$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.6 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 20c | 958.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +402.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 80c | 916.33$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 32c | 879.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.39 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 59c | 838.83$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 42c | 689.49$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 656.27$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 68c | 587.16$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 563$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 46c | 520.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.52 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 39c | 499.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 419.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 57c | 314.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 68c | 254.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 34c | 233.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 198.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 74c | 187$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 33c | 174.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 18c | 116.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 27c | 99.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 20c | 95.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Yes | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…1782backed Yes | 30c | 76.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 80c | 75.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…196abacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 21c | 69.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 47c | 67.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 66.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 65.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 58.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 57.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 60c | 56.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 55.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 54.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 51.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 62c | 50.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 31c | 47.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 29c | 39.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 48c | 38.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 69c | 38.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…fe55backed Yes | 75c | 36.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 67c | 34.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 74c | 34.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 75c | 34.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 33.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 74c | 24.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 19.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 75c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 74c | 14.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 76c | 14.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.