TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over14c4,688$641 inWon+$4,047.262,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over11c2,102$227 inWon+$1,874.861,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c500$75 inWon+$42563849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Under80c375$300 inLost-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Under11c300$33 inLost-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over29c242.69$71 inWon+$171.369341.9%39 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over15c231.47$35 inWon+$196.759954.5%54 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over18c224$40 inWon+$183.6813542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over18c182$33 inWon+$149.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over22c125.76$28 inWon+$97.8589258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c106.29$14 inWon+$91.912,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over15c100$15 inWon+$855961%36 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under70c98$69 inLost-$68.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+109.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over19c95.01$18 inWon+$76.6521953.4%117 W · 102 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over14c78.43$11 inWon+$67.4530550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over25c75.2$19 inWon+$56.621747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under60c71.87$43 inLost-$43.3871533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c69.14$28 inWon+$41.2733853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under75c56$42 inLost-$42.015267.3%35 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under73c28.59$21 inLost-$20.812850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under79c20.25$16 inLost-$16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under79c13$10 inLost-$10.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.