Other European Leagues · resolved market
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113ac8fd7793bd930db2fe2a2d69a965f3d059d06b706dae4eeb086c5ee3090f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 3,552$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 71c | 2,928$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 674.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 76c | 370.35$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 27c | 361$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 267.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 216$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 15c | 153.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 21c | 113.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 11c | 111.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 86.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 65c | 72.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 41c | 64.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…30b9backed Over | 75c | 52.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 43.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 40c | 31.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 39c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 57c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5this page
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo O/U 1.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo O/U 2.5Under won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: Molde FK O/U 2.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)KFUM-Kameratene Oslo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.