TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Molde FKof KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, Molde FK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,633 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5a1…30d1backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo19c2,106$400 inLost-$400.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo19c2,071$393 inLost-$393.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo2c794.78$13 inLost-$13.252,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo26c613.24$159 inLost-$159.192,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo25c165.26$42 inLost-$41.6721454.2%116 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo20c151$30 inLost-$30.263849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo18c135$25 inLost-$24.6513542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo26c103.85$27 inLost-$26.933959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo27c83.03$22 inLost-$22.428549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo21c71.4$15 inLost-$14.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo19c71$14 inLost-$13.8333853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Molde FK79c27.32$22 inWon+$5.6629754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Molde FK79c20.92$17 inWon+$4.395470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.