Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb254798a500c89426465ca58f8c94b417f573a18f3990672dbd3080c83ca38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0424…d185backed Yes | 73c | 1,986$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 1,749$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 1,098$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 52c | 982.02$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.02 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 60c | 677.24$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 665.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Yes | 52c | 537.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 3c | 523.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 512.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 68c | 441.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 53c | 376.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 39c | 296.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 44c | 230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 199.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 63c | 166.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 144.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 75c | 108.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 101.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 81.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 64.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 35c | 59.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 61c | 54.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 52c | 50.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 34c | 44.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 44.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 37.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…0a13backed Yes | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 32.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 28.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…0fbebacked No | 44c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…f4adbacked No | 47c | 27.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 48c | 25.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 53c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 65c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.