Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebda0e1829c617ca18b91594e3f4f9f63b918b2e9a6b6eaa0089acecb515d85c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jordanof Colombia, Jordan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Colombia | 44c | 5,060$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Colombia | 37c | 4,297$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jordan | 62c | 3,861$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Jordan | 60c | 1,201$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jordan | 72c | 897.95$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colombia | 34c | 787.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Jordan | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Jordan | 61c | 608.24$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Jordan | 62c | 480.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Jordan | 57c | 471$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Jordan | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Jordan | 61c | 449.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Jordan | 63c | 417$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Jordan | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jordan | 54c | 378.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Jordan | 63c | 344.13$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Colombia | 17c | 318$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Jordan | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Colombia | 40c | 299.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Jordan | 60c | 299.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Colombia | 38c | 293.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colombia | 29c | 279.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Colombia | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colombia | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jordan | 61c | 245$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Jordan | 62c | 242.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colombia | 37c | 201.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jordan | 65c | 154.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Jordan | 66c | 152.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Jordan | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Colombia | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jordan | 64c | 137.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Colombia | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Colombia | 30c | 134.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colombia | 38c | 122.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Jordan | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Colombia | 54c | 118.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jordan | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Colombia | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Colombia | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…9526backed Jordan | 60c | 98.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Jordan | 68c | 96.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Colombia | 38c | 92.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jordan | 57c | 80.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jordan | 54c | 79.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jordan | 53c | 76.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Colombia | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Colombia | 35c | 64.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Jordan | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Colombia | 28c | 53.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Colombia | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Jordan | 32c | 49.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…0a49backed Colombia | 44c | 46.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Jordan | 61c | 45.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Jordan | 62c | 44.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Colombia | 37c | 40.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Colombia | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Jordan | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Jordan | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Colombia | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Colombia | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Jordan | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Colombia | 42c | 31.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Jordan | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Colombia | 37c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Jordan | 62c | 26.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Jordan | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Colombia | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Jordan | 62c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Jordan | 58c | 21.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…91a0backed Jordan | 71c | 21.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Jordan | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Jordan | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)this page
- Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.