Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded7b0a46630325d298812c76d291994d863165a28f754771c32455d029c3d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 5,399$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.84 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 3,959$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 78c | 3,190$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.86 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 22c | 3,017$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.77 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 2,058$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.84 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 1,428$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 1,408$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 75c | 1,193$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 965.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 23c | 652.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 76c | 605.79$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 550.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Over | 23c | 424.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 23c | 399.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 19c | 380$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 77c | 358.44$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed Under | 76c | 321.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 24c | 291.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 74c | 277.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 217.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 77c | 183.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 175.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 77c | 150.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 8c | 142.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 23c | 137.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 77c | 122.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 18c | 121.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 120.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 16c | 116.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 19c | 95.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 91.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 91.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…c816backed Over | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 19c | 62.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 24c | 59.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…88f8backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 79c | 32.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 76c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 77c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…eaf5backed Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 76c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 79c | 17.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 79c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5this page
- Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.