Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1f76b25a9d717c20176799760148dec88edf7eea3e4681958c8616d8f1c241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 7c | 31,708$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.5 | 227 | 15%34 W · 193 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 9c | 17,079$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.88 | 230 | 24.8%57 W · 173 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 4c | 9,912$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 1,061 | 10.7%113 W · 948 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 191 | 18.3%35 W · 156 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 4c | 5,869$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 696 | 15.7%109 W · 587 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes | 7c | 4,801$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 4c | 4,741$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f7…9ed6backed Yes | 4c | 4,736$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 12c | 4,561$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.83 | 556 | 22.5%125 W · 431 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 3c | 4,172$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 1,219 | 8.7%106 W · 1,113 L | +32.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,856$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 350 | 16%56 W · 294 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 5c | 3,551$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 1,809 | 7.4%133 W · 1,676 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 3c | 3,268$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 911 | 10.2%93 W · 818 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 6c | 3,101$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 128 | 37.5%48 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 4c | 3,083$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 397 | 4.5%18 W · 379 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 3,056$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 813 | 11.1%90 W · 723 L | +29.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes | 4c | 3,025$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 10c | 2,737$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 509 | 19.3%98 W · 411 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 5c | 2,713$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1,096 | 8.2%90 W · 1,006 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 2,528$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 2,589 | 13.1%340 W · 2,249 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 9c | 2,517$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 420 | 30.7%129 W · 291 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 582 | 8.1%47 W · 535 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 6c | 2,315$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 903 | 17.1%154 W · 749 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 9c | 2,310$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 13%21 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,188 | 3.9%85 W · 2,103 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 628 | 12.3%77 W · 551 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,854$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 239 | 18%43 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…037dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,827$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 8c | 1,787$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 434 | 10.6%46 W · 388 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 5c | 1,740$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 181 | 20.4%37 W · 144 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,688$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 10c | 1,615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 340 | 21.5%73 W · 267 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…30aebacked Yes | 5c | 1,561$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,540$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 12c | 1,483$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,421$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 3c | 1,372$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,323$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 127 | 28.3%36 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…d61ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 589 | 22.1%130 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,085$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 419 | 22.9%96 W · 323 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 11c | 1,039$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 259 | 13.5%35 W · 224 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 534 | 10.5%56 W · 478 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 4.8%5 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 184 | 16.3%30 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes | 10c | 964.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 4c | 934.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 593 | 20.9%124 W · 469 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 5c | 929.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,072 | 13.6%146 W · 926 L | +38.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 5c | 901.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 898 | 18.8%169 W · 729 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed Yes | 14c | 900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cf59backed Yes | 6c | 859.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 7c | 850.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 5c | 835.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 165 | 12.7%21 W · 144 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes | 12c | 826.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 134 | 14.2%19 W · 115 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 800 | 8.8%70 W · 730 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…5925backed Yes | 11c | 723.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 125 | 20.8%26 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 10c | 702.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 175 | 26.3%46 W · 129 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…4c88backed Yes | 11c | 667.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 3c | 613.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 251 | 22.3%56 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 6c | 612.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 299 | 12.7%38 W · 261 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 2c | 607.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 284 | 17.3%49 W · 235 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6d…2294backed Yes | 6c | 573.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes | 10c | 559.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 263 | 12.2%32 W · 231 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…0296backed Yes | 5c | 547.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 207 | 14%29 W · 178 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…2cd8backed Yes | 6c | 501$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 269 | 13.8%37 W · 232 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…23cabacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 496.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 574 | 8.2%47 W · 527 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…9fb8backed Yes | 2c | 487$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…aaa0backed Yes | 11c | 480.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 8c | 470.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 11c | 463$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 837 | 14.9%125 W · 712 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 11c | 459.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 4c | 454.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 12c | 420.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 27.8%96 W · 249 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 10c | 414.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 470 | 23.4%110 W · 360 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 15c | 408.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 857 | 16.5%141 W · 716 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c9…83b5backed Yes | 13c | 407.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…fba2backed Yes | 14c | 407.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9a02backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes | 6c | 399.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 184 | 18.5%34 W · 150 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5047backed Yes | 10c | 343.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 167 | 6%10 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 472 | 37.7%178 W · 294 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…2730backed Yes | 4c | 288.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…f2a7backed Yes | 9c | 283.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…b296backed Yes | 11c | 278.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 366 | 18.9%69 W · 297 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…8910backed Yes | 13c | 276.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 88 | 11.4%10 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ded7backed Yes | 10c | 242.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 230.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 113 | 13.3%15 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 7c | 220.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 161 | 28%45 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 6c | 218.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 8c | 211.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 659 | 21.5%142 W · 517 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 8c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 593 | 11.5%68 W · 525 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…5704backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.