Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Roma?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa79d900c3d90de949c24b5b937369d33210796d80291d5685eecb3ca80f37c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 54c | 1,490$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 41c | 761.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 46c | 662.04$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 527.45$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 45c | 336.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 54c | 193.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 57c | 108.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 58c | 100.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 54c | 80.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…8cd5backed No | 55c | 79.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…c035backed Yes | 48c | 40.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600a…2853backed Yes | 48c | 39.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…244abacked No | 54c | 37.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…65c1backed Yes | 48c | 37.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 47c | 37.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…fda3backed Yes | 49c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…374dbacked No | 54c | 30.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…f38dbacked No | 54c | 29.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…447bbacked Yes | 67c | 28.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…3518backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…61c7backed Yes | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta beat Roma? this page
- Will Atalanta vs. Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Roma beat Atalanta? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.