La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd7e231596d882776cdad1b41e49abc71e90165b33b4cc2d918adee1c49d018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 50c | 65,000$32,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,195.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 39,965$20,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,782.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 11,532$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.65 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 52c | 9,177$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 6,242$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.54 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 5,755$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.77 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 5,632$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.12 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 2,103$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 2,006$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.51 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,401$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.1 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 50c | 829.11$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 44c | 291.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 244.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 33c | 226.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 204.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…f552backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 51c | 195.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 50c | 153.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 44c | 150.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 31c | 132.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 42c | 130.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 117.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 26c | 105.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Yes | 46c | 95.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…6858backed No | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 88.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Yes | 47c | 85.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 77.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…21f5backed Yes | 50c | 54.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 39c | 50.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 43c | 46.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 49c | 43.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed No | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed No | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked No | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed No | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 31c | 32.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 49c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…c97cbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 37c | 28.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 25.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.