La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6adf5d6fe1c33600485675e31b4eb2051a2f495263ff02c89ebbc9cb6e7dbec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,979$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,514$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 469.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 9c | 230.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 207.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 178.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 10c | 127.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 119.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 53.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…ad2abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 76c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.