TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sam Houston Bearkatsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe948…ff23backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0805466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sam Houston Bearkats69c3,071$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…b429backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c2,869$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…1220backed Sam Houston Bearkats47c2,684$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c2,196$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…ff0fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c2,141$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x148a…db5abacked Sam Houston Bearkats47c2,053$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd18…c231backed Sam Houston Bearkats47c1,869$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Sam Houston Bearkats51c1,866$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.5561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f08…5154backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c1,495$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f24…68c2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c1,101$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c1,078$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94f…4249backed Sam Houston Bearkats47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c998.11$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.012,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks30c697.01$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.44,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats72c640.73$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.321,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks22c472.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.221,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sam Houston Bearkats69c413$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.032,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sam Houston Bearkats49c394.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.681,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c394$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.885,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks30c319$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Sam Houston Bearkats74c264.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks50c247.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats73c208$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats72c188.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c165$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.782,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks34c160.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5136942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks30c151.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.469849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sam Houston Bearkats74c150.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks32c146.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1657335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Sam Houston Bearkats51c98.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3517950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats51c98.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2418851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats51c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5311346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sam Houston Bearkats54c93.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats73c89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.033,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114f…4602backed Sam Houston Bearkats79c61.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sam Houston Bearkats75c56.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks26c49.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9418241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sam Houston Bearkats68c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks51c39.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c30.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…c75abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks51c30.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fec…1c3fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats49c30.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c27.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.432,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats47c26.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1736248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.