Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728679bec8151eb6f050fc8a61fc43f46509e3131dddbf24d5afecde69cb5e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 511,428$284,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,395.46 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 45c | 272,165$122,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,690.98 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 43c | 151,661$65,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,446.74 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 46c | 14,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 9,969$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,508.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 9,118$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 7,505$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.8 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 3,998$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 43c | 2,250$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 44c | 2,239$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.04 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 45c | 2,166$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.12 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 55c | 2,005$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.7 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Over | 57c | 793.36$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 43c | 740$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 500$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 45c | 445.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 44c | 444.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.98 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 9c | 333.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 46c | 254.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…d27abacked Under | 45c | 231.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 44c | 226.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Under | 45c | 174.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 44c | 146.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 45c | 118.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 101.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 46c | 95.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Under | 44c | 94.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 46c | 92.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…b7ecbacked Over | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 86.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6db…3eb3backed Over | 56c | 69.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed Under | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 46c | 37.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 45c | 36.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 44c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Under | 44c | 27.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 138.5this page
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-4.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow WarriorsHawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.