South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfd9630918dd8d375030e6ec8251f1be7986ddcbf573cb12943733e98179989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 42c | 19,861$8,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,519.22 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes | 33c | 5,999$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 5,156$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.31 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 1,951$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,475$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,415$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.72 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,276$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 78c | 638$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 58c | 552.84$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 42c | 434.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 58c | 431.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 45c | 389.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 285$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…4aafbacked Yes | 58c | 245.21$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 58c | 205.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 42c | 203.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 58c | 186.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 180.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 165$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 117.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3590backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…5299backed Yes | 59c | 104.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 56c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 39c | 90.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 56c | 72.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…f670backed Yes | 61c | 65.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…72eabacked Yes | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…8384backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…1d5abacked Yes | 60c | 24.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 24.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 43c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…3ed3backed Yes | 61c | 19.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Fortaleza EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.