NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b796c4ad74d6918a0358b578eea9eea5ae767b52debaadfebe8ba641147efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 56c | 22,335$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,835.08 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 44c | 7,074$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 4,364$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 44c | 4,218$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.92 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Under | 44c | 2,054$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 45c | 1,640$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 44c | 1,633$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.52 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 45c | 1,271$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 1,166$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.4 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 703$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Over | 52c | 689.31$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 178$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 147.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 56c | 82.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Under | 64c | 80.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 34c | 73.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Under | 64c | 70.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 70c | 29.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…2f6bbacked Over | 56c | 21.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. UtahPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.