NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093d0615c4b92905283e1a2a114aa0de2afac68ec12031a29d57c63e84e1d7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Knicks | 49c | 29,952$14,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,372.04 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 52c | 20,052$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,406.57 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Knicks | 47c | 9,696$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.79 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Hornets | 52c | 9,668$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.24 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Knicks | 47c | 9,450$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.6 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 48c | 8,027$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 49c | 6,785$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.13 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hornets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 51c | 4,510$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Hornets | 52c | 4,423$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Hornets | 51c | 3,674$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.69 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,203$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Knicks | 47c | 3,179$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.13 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Knicks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…db7dbacked Hornets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 47c | 1,387$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Hornets | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Hornets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Knicks | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…f731backed Knicks | 49c | 798.69$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Knicks | 48c | 785.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.42 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hornets | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Knicks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks | 47c | 374$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Knicks | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Hornets | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…dc6dbacked Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 49c | 189.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Knicks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Knicks | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 51c | 115.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Knicks | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Knicks | 53c | 108.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…aed1backed Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Knicks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Knicks | 46c | 98.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Hornets | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…ceb6backed Knicks | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…ee7bbacked Hornets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Hornets | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 48c | 69.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Knicks | 48c | 68.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 47c | 56.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…3ea6backed Hornets | 51c | 42.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…e54fbacked Knicks | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Knicks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…d936backed Hornets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…6a83backed Hornets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Knicks | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Hornets | 53c | 33.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Hornets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Hornets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Hornets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Hornets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Hornets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Hornets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Hornets | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Hornets | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Hornets | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Hornets | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Hornets | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- Hornets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.