NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf640fbf2087e87190314da708ae2ffa71f46b3573447ba65975f5346c1719505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 48c | 32,809$15,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,748.14 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…cc5bbacked Under | 52c | 12,627$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ce24backed Under | 52c | 5,750$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80e…8a69backed Under | 52c | 3,921$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.8 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 2,284$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.32 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 2,164$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.57 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 1,967$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.83 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Under | 52c | 1,907$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…8bf5backed Under | 53c | 1,872$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 52c | 1,825$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Under | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,288$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Under | 52c | 935.4$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 688.35$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.41 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 556.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 393.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 293.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 49c | 198.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 52c | 120.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…78eebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3866…fb73backed Under | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Under | 54c | 52.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…06b3backed Over | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…b0a9backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5this page
- Hornets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.