Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Leolia Jeanjean
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4509d9f0fecb23ed31bd7af2225319d01f9a5d17ab37d0abf445e3d1a7257d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seidelof Seidel, Jeanjean
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Jeanjean | 38c | 10,500$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Jeanjean | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 68c | 9,850$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Seidel | 62c | 7,287$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Seidel | 62c | 5,376$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.81 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Jeanjean | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seidel | 62c | 1,173$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jeanjean | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Jeanjean | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Jeanjean | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…0b32backed Seidel | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Jeanjean | 42c | 684.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Seidel | 62c | 650$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Jeanjean | 28c | 638$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Seidel | 62c | 480$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Jeanjean | 28c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Seidel | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jeanjean | 23c | 48.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.