MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00db6859eca62f95003060517f2a45cae340b5c9df831cb52598f0d7b0d474fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 178,929$85,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,284.43 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 52c | 30,081$15,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,642.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 52c | 25,067$13,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,034.84 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 52c | 15,555$8,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,088.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 18c | 11,930$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 11,879$9,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 52c | 10,057$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.64 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Blue Jays | 65c | 9,503$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.91 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Blue Jays | 47c | 7,697$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Yankees | 53c | 7,388$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 53c | 7,362$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.01 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 54c | 6,915$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.1 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 53c | 6,660$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 36c | 6,265$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 43c | 5,880$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 34c | 5,617$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 50c | 5,367$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.5 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yankees | 24c | 2,573$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.13 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yankees | 35c | 1,875$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.05 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,498$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.12 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,097$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yankees | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 49c | 923$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Yankees | 17c | 883.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 46c | 869$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Blue Jays | 77c | 838.95$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Yankees | 54c | 830.41$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 825$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 52c | 800$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 12c | 762.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 54c | 713.46$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 6c | 657.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Blue Jays | 48c | 562.58$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.54 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 40c | 511.42$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 54c | 461.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees | 54c | 444.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yankees | 24c | 347.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 45c | 307.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yankees | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yankees | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yankees | 53c | 269.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yankees | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 54c | 242.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yankees | 44c | 225.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 52c | 217.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 201.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 53c | 195.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 12c | 195.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yankees | 53c | 187.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yankees | 26c | 187.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Blue Jays | 46c | 173$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 53c | 159.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Blue Jays | 45c | 139.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yankees | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Yankees | 27c | 112.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Blue Jays | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Blue Jays | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yankees | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 56c | 79.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 46c | 76.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yankees | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yankees | 53c | 61.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Yankees | 46c | 59.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Blue Jays | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Blue Jays | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Blue Jays | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Blue Jays | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Yankees | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Blue Jays | 80c | 37.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Yankees | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yankees | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 56c | 33.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Yankees | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Yankeesthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.