College Football · resolved market
UNLV vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ca0b430af395f01c3c5595fb573bc4abca5c18edd97c9103f34129642a6bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof UNLV, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colorado State | 44c | 73,423$32,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,012.52 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked UNLV | 62c | 38,183$23,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,575.26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Colorado State | 35c | 31,582$11,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed UNLV | 65c | 29,025$18,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,158.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Colorado State | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed UNLV | 63c | 18,912$11,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.42 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV | 68c | 16,151$10,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.64 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Colorado State | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UNLV | 53c | 14,277$7,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.87 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado State | 16c | 12,377$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.09 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UNLV | 65c | 10,718$6,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.3 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV | 54c | 8,098$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.47 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UNLV | 65c | 5,159$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.63 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNLV | 63c | 5,139$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.57 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Colorado State | 48c | 4,702$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.37 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked UNLV | 51c | 4,173$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.91 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Colorado State | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado State | 35c | 3,114$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.42 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed UNLV | 65c | 2,979$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UNLV | 64c | 2,688$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.63 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed UNLV | 66c | 2,304$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked UNLV | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Colorado State | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV | 49c | 1,947$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.36 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Colorado State | 33c | 1,855$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Colorado State | 37c | 1,800$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.44 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UNLV | 75c | 1,683$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.06 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked UNLV | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UNLV | 63c | 1,436$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.29 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State | 34c | 1,267$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…006cbacked Colorado State | 29c | 1,222$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Colorado State | 50c | 1,177$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Colorado State | 3c | 1,175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed UNLV | 53c | 1,161$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.72 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Colorado State | 9c | 1,149$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UNLV | 52c | 1,115$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.95 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed UNLV | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Colorado State | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Colorado State | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Colorado State | 36c | 836.11$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked UNLV | 68c | 763.24$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Colorado State | 48c | 621.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Colorado State | 5c | 618.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV | 67c | 612.47$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed UNLV | 65c | 574.8$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed UNLV | 67c | 522.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV | 57c | 501.65$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado State | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed Colorado State | 9c | 392.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…d2ddbacked Colorado State | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…62e7backed UNLV | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Colorado State | 29c | 289.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked UNLV | 75c | 269.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado State | 46c | 255.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed UNLV | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado State | 35c | 237.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed UNLV | 63c | 221$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Colorado State | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado State | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Colorado State | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Colorado State | 35c | 190.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Colorado State | 35c | 190.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed UNLV | 64c | 188.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UNLV | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed UNLV | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked UNLV | 64c | 120.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado State | 36c | 109.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Colorado State | 36c | 107.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed UNLV | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Colorado State | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Colorado State | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Colorado State | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Colorado State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed UNLV | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Colorado State | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Colorado State | 46c | 97.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Colorado State | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked UNLV | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Colorado State | 44c | 91.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed UNLV | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…4a7fbacked Colorado State | 17c | 63.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked UNLV | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…47b7backed Colorado State | 37c | 59.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…2bdabacked Colorado State | 38c | 58.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…257cbacked Colorado State | 38c | 52.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff55…7a63backed Colorado State | 37c | 50.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Colorado State | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked UNLV | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8f3fbacked UNLV | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Colorado State | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…83d8backed Colorado State | 37c | 48.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed UNLV | 64c | 47.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed UNLV | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…f8e3backed UNLV | 64c | 45.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…15cbbacked UNLV | 64c | 35.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…42b4backed UNLV | 64c | 35.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…7f84backed Colorado State | 37c | 34.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…4330backed UNLV | 63c | 33.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea1…e84ebacked UNLV | 65c | 33.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV vs. Colorado Statethis page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: UNLV (-4.5)UNLV won
- UNLV vs. Colorado State: O/U 62.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.