TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over29c12,521$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.851,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over36c10,726$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.344843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c10,497$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.222,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c6,780$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c5,442$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.2575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under64c5,331$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.691,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over37c3,719$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.0349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…83eabacked Under70c2,843$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over34c2,778$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.2234747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c2,768$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.578,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c2,439$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.745,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under64c1,785$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.882,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c1,757$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.521,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c1,697$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8516160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c1,456$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.621,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.941,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c1,194$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.681,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under63c1,180$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c1,171$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c919.57$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.571,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c691.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0321252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under66c520.12$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.845154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under64c400$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c399.78$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.933,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c321.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.771,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over36c300.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Under80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.125457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under71c246.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7550656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c234.03$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.72,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under74c213.3$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under71c211.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.416665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c196.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.842,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under73c188.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Over41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under73c174.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under74c165.9$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over21c139.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3518426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over14c121.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c108.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7351750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c108.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.851,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over16c87.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over33c78.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9364633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under64c77.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over35c66.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under72c62.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.157463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under68c58.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.476561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under66c54.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under72c54.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1412662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under66c47.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0214149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under62c45.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under71c37.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9911861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under71c36.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Under65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under62c33.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over36c31.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over33c31.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.463256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under63c27.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.345848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Under72c23.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.734173.2%30 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under67c21.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.024461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under64c19.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9217067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under67c19.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under64c19.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.756078.3%47 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick80cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.445952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under67c15.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.089350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under72c15.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2710458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc278…3144backed Under73c14.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.