South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e5ee929dba77736642dacc88125c0c09b1396f983c744abd8150ed6375e247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 42c | 4,540$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.29 | 517 | 35.4%183 W · 334 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,697$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.86 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,608$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.56 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 71c | 2,708$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.08 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 1,621$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.9 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 42c | 1,402$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 1,292$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.13 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed Yes | 31c | 809.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 726.38$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 671.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 479$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 439.07$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 42c | 408.14$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 35c | 406.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 192 | 34.9%67 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 362.41$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 325.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 560 | 46.1%258 W · 302 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…4e84backed Yes | 31c | 277.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 187.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 162$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…4086backed No | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 142$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 40c | 121.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 119.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 960 | 55.7%535 W · 425 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 69c | 119$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 42c | 113.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 72c | 98.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 67c | 91.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 605 | 56.4%341 W · 264 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 18c | 81.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 68c | 80.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 929 | 45.1%419 W · 510 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 62.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 718 | 36.8%264 W · 454 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…8d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 39c | 60.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 31c | 58.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 70c | 57.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 70c | 56.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 53.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…abf6backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 48.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 70c | 46.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 46.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 60c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 67c | 36.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 77c | 35.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 67c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 67c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 343 | 65.9%226 W · 117 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 68c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 70c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…47b6backed No | 72c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.