TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Estudiantes de La Plataof CA Boca Juniors, Estudiantes de La Plata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed CA Boca Juniors34c7,636$2,607 inLost-$2,606.911,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Estudiantes de La Plata64c3,424$2,203 inWon+$1,220.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed CA Boca Juniors26c3,139$807 inLost-$807.3110828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Estudiantes de La Plata72c2,654$1,914 inWon+$739.192,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Estudiantes de La Plata76c1,601$1,222 inWon+$379.22,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CA Boca Juniors31c596.23$188 inLost-$187.763,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CA Boca Juniors18c333$60 inLost-$59.941,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Boca Juniors21c204.6$43 inLost-$42.9755946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Estudiantes de La Plata65c174.53$113 inWon+$61.5546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Estudiantes de La Plata70c158.69$110 inWon+$48.1950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Estudiantes de La Plata63c113.03$71 inWon+$41.6160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846a…9a72backed CA Boca Juniors19c112.98$21 inLost-$21.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Estudiantes de La Plata63c107.96$68 inWon+$39.8195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Estudiantes de La Plata65c106.79$69 inWon+$37.8669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Estudiantes de La Plata63c101.76$64 inWon+$37.6519040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Estudiantes de La Plata77c100$77 inWon+$231353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked CA Boca Juniors18c88$16 inLost-$15.8489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Estudiantes de La Plata80c62.15$50 inWon+$12.4355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked CA Boca Juniors24c50$12 inLost-$1289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Estudiantes de La Plata63c44.12$28 inWon+$16.5111155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Estudiantes de La Plata69c41.87$29 inWon+$12.7721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Estudiantes de La Plata61c40.43$25 inWon+$15.9272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Estudiantes de La Plata80c39$31 inWon+$7.822,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Estudiantes de La Plata62c36.7$23 inWon+$14.0726465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Estudiantes de La Plata79c33.59$27 inWon+$7.0529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Estudiantes de La Plata66c32.92$22 inWon+$11.2911861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Estudiantes de La Plata65c31.19$20 inWon+$10.9910458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Estudiantes de La Plata63c23.27$15 inWon+$8.5612662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Estudiantes de La Plata76c19.74$15 inWon+$4.747463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Estudiantes de La Plata63c16.82$11 inWon+$6.2916459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477c…fe04backed Estudiantes de La Plata69c14.51$10 inWon+$4.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.