South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2edf9476321f6eaf6ed37650c127f5b2eebd2f335c9e87bbf0d144c391a79d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over | 32c | 4,787$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 3,396$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 68c | 2,800$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 17c | 2,742$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 33c | 2,549$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.17 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 67c | 1,731$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 32c | 1,566$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 1,122$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 704.33$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 31c | 494.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 448.82$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 31c | 222.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 31c | 129.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 80c | 99.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Under | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 69c | 75.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 41.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 69c | 34.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 27.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 68c | 20.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.