South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899a4ab5f5f1ee9bc408b69958e085987fc1c4a039aff215a02f95d4cbd459ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Banfieldof Racing Club, CA Banfield
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Racing Club | 17c | 9,019$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Racing Club | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked CA Banfield | 74c | 2,368$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.68 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked CA Banfield | 73c | 1,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Racing Club | 26c | 966.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked CA Banfield | 70c | 785.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Racing Club | 4c | 365$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Banfield | 74c | 345$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Banfield | 73c | 321.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club | 26c | 308.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Racing Club | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Racing Club | 31c | 198$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed CA Banfield | 69c | 198$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Racing Club | 26c | 146.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Racing Club | 26c | 108.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Banfield | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Racing Club | 26c | 101.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CA Banfield | 73c | 96.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Banfield | 74c | 95.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked CA Banfield | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed CA Banfield | 75c | 47.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed CA Banfield | 71c | 47.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CA Banfield | 71c | 47.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CA Banfield | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked CA Banfield | 70c | 29.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed CA Banfield | 76c | 24.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed CA Banfield | 70c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed CA Banfield | 71c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed CA Banfield | 74c | 13.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: CA Banfield 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.