TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c11,672$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.568,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over64c9,806$6,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,295.482,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c3,655$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.322,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under69c1,721$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.8519155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c1,416$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under19c1,061$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.582572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb23c…61a7backed Over69c864.82$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over63c698$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.741984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+54.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under29c630.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.2919040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over55c381$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3219437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c331.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.141,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over64c311.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under39c288.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under39c281.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over69c273.45$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under43c273$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over60c257$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Over59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.753534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over65c234.1$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.921752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under24c229.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1712755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under42c205.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4112850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under27c185.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.188755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over69c168.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.012356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Under34c155$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over71c148.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9949341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c147.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x704a…88d8backed Under56c141.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under42c133.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0463061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Over40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under57c102.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under56c101.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over74c100.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.386053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.27741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under40c77.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3112662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under32c76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c56.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.892,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under72c54.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.456877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.192,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c48.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under35c48.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1616459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9891…8949backed Under39c47.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under25c43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over41c39.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.169240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under27c38.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under32c35.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3711155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c32.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over69c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0818050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over35c29.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over68c23.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9326465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over68c22.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over69c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1821366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Over77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-81.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.755540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.