South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce67fc2ddc3e3f849324b70a3c5ff36b9ec3187e9d530fe339fd49204d6d8859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 80c | 6,314$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 5,426$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.7 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 5,281$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 3,043$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 1,873$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 51c | 1,522$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.22 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 54c | 1,346$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 58c | 1,180$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 749.14$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 742$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 696.87$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 47c | 638.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 58c | 447.3$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 445$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 43c | 439.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 31c | 407.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 47c | 377$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 52c | 154.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 32c | 153.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 144.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 124.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 119.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 56c | 111.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 31c | 108.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 103.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 94.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 67c | 76.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 48c | 62.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 61.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 42c | 58.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 33c | 54.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 41c | 53.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 66c | 45.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 57c | 40.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 42c | 39.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 59c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 60c | 26.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 59c | 26.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 59c | 25.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…5e22backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 62c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 73c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 66c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 67c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: CA Banfield 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Banfield: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.