Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Jackson State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c4e8877c0c786a591d57bbbf35093e7a6cb3d0c6f4c35f2e4b3d0b878a4a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jackson Stateof Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Jackson State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 19c | 115.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…44c0backed Jackson State | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9064backed Jackson State | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…41e2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…4cc0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…1bafbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…ab79backed Jackson State | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…0ac0backed Jackson State | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Jackson State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…5b26backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Jackson State | 52c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +629.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…51d6backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…7cb2backed Jackson State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…362cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6075backed Jackson State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…c309backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked Jackson State | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…978abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…8689backed Jackson State | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…0b77backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…32c3backed Jackson State | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…74b0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.